NPR

How Bad Will Coronavirus Be This Winter? Model Projects 170,000 More U.S. Deaths

Cases are surging in many places around the country. As we head into winter here's what public health forecasters think we can expect.
More than 700 Americans die each day of COVID-19. If case counts continue to rise into the winter, that number could nearly triple, one forecast projects.

Coronavirus cases are rising rapidly in many states as the U.S. heads into the winter months. And forecasters predict staggering growth in infections and deaths if current trends continue.

It's exactly the kind of scenario that public health experts have long warned could be in store for the country, if it did not aggressively tamp down on infections over the summer.

"We were really hoping to crater the cases in preparation for a bad winter," says Tara Smith, a professor of epidemiology at Kent State University. "We've done basically the opposite."

After hitting an all-time high in July, cases did drop significantly, but the U.S. never reached a level where the public health system could truly get a

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