Guardian Weekly

Global report

1 CLIMATE CRISIS

El Niño will bring further record-breaking heatwaves

The return of the El Niño climate phenomenon will cause global temperatures to rise “off the chart” and deliver unprecedented heatwaves, scientists have warned. Forecasts suggest El Niño will return this year, exacerbating extreme weather around the globe and making it “very likely” the world will exceed 1.5C of warming. The hottest year in recorded history, 2016, was driven by a major El Niño event.

It is part of a natural oscillation driven by ocean temperatures and Pacific winds, which switches between El Niño, its cooler counterpart La Niña, and neutral conditions. There have been a run of La Niña events in the past three years. El Niño occurs during the northern hemisphere winter and its heating effect takes months to be felt, meaning 2024 is much more likely to set a global temperature record.

The greenhouse gases emitted by human activities have driven up average global temperature by about 1.2C to date. This has already led to catastrophic effects around the world, from searing heatwaves in the US and Europe to devastating floods in Pakistan and Nigeria, harming millions of people.

2 GERMANY

Defence minister quits as confidence wanes

After a series of blunders and a growing impression that she had struggled to deal with the challenges of overseeing the military since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Christine Lambrecht resigned as defence minister on Monday.

Lambrecht’s resignation came at a

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