The Atlantic

Will COVID’s Spring Lull Last?

Things look calm right now. They may even stay that way—but we won’t know for sure for a good long while.
Source: Illustration by The Atlantic. Source: Marcos del Mazo / Getty.

By all official counts—at least, the ones still being tallied—the global situation on COVID appears to have . More than a year has passed since the world last saw daily confirmed deaths tick above 10,000; nearly a year and a has elapsed since the population was pummeled by a new Greek-lettered variant of concern. The globe’s most recent winters have been the pandemic’s least lethal to date—and the World Health Organization is sometime later this year, as the final pandemic protections in the United States prepare to disappear. On the heels of the , this spring in the U.S. is also going … kind of all right. “I am feeling less worried than I have been in a while,” Shweta Bansal, an infectious-disease modeler at Georgetown University, told me.

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