The Atlantic

What Happens When the U.S. Overestimates Its Power

American leaders keep overestimating their control over events in the Middle East, Ukraine, and around the world.
Source: Illustration by Ben Kothe / The Atlantic. Source: Getty.

Ever since a terror attack by Hamas triggered a war in Israel and Gaza in October, many commentators have presumed that the United States can in some way manage the course of the crisis—either by supporting Israel emphatically or by demanding greater restraint from that country’s leaders. Successive American administrations, including Joe Biden’s, have encouraged this belief in American control of events in the Middle East and around the world. Just days before the Hamas attack, National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan boasted in an article in a article that the Biden administration had “de-escalated crises in Gaza.” The Middle East, he wrote, is “quieter than it has been for decades,” echoing in late September. (The online version of the article was subsequently

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