The Atlantic

In Iran, the Big Winner Is None of the Above

A second round between an extremist and a reformist will put the logic of boycott to the test.
Saeed Jalili, an ultraconservative former nuclear negotiator and Iran’s presidential candidate, holds a rally in Tehran on June 24, 2024.
Source: Alireza / Middle East Images / Redux

Since the death in May of President Ebrahim Raisi, Iran has been in the throes of a surprise electoral contest. Not for the first time, one of the loudest campaigns has belonged not to any of the candidates, but to opponents of the regime who advocate boycotting the vote. Among those who refused to vote on June 28 were the Nobel Peace Prize laureates Shirin Ebadi and Narges Mohammadi, the labor leader Esmayil Bakhshi, former Prime Minister Mirhossein Mousavi (under house arrest since 2011 for leading the Green Movement protests), and Mostafa Tajzadeh, a prominent reformist turned critic who is in prison.

Now the first-round results are in, and they suggest a grand victory for the boycotters. On election day, so few Iranians came out to vote by 6 p.m., when the polls were due to close, that the regime extended voting hours all the way to

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