The xG Explained A Beginner's Guide to Football Analytics

By Michael Smith

Master xG to Predict Matches Like a Pro - Become a Football Analysis Guru 

Tired of being left scratching your head after a match where your team dominated possession but lost?

Ever wondered why an underdog striker scores a screamer against all odds? Welcome to the world of Expected Goals (xG), the revolutionary metric changing the way we analyze football.

This book is your ultimate guide to unlocking the secrets of xG. This book goes beyond the final score, empowering you to see the true story unfolding on the pitch.

Here's what you'll learn:

What is xG and how does it work?

Demystify the magic behind xG and understand how it analyzes shots to reveal the true likelihood of them resulting in a goal.

Unleash the power of xG analysis: Go beyond basic stats and identify overperforming strikers, potential transfer gems hidden in plain sight, and weaknesses in your favorite team's tactics.

Predict matches with more confidence: Gain valuable insights into underdog performances and potential upsets, making you a true football forecasting whiz.

xG for specific UK leagues: Discover how xG can differ between leagues. Learn how the high-octane Premier League might have a higher average xG compared to a more defensive league, revealing intriguing insights into playing styles.

But that's not all! The book introduces you to Netvision, a revolutionary Google Sheet software designed specifically for xG analysis. Netvision streamlines the process, saving you time and effort:

Effortless Data Input: Ditch the tedious manual data entry! Netvision simplifies the process of adding team and player data to your spreadsheets.

Automated Calculations: No more complex formulas! Netvision automatically calculates xG values and other key metrics based on your data.

Visualizations at Your Fingertips: Generate insightful charts and graphs to see trends and identify patterns in team and player performances.

Seamless Collaboration: Share your spreadsheets with fellow football fanatics, allowing you to analyze matches and strategies together.

Become a Footy Forecaster today and:

Transform your football knowledge: Impress your mates down the pub with your newfound xG expertise.

See beyond the beautiful game: Understand the underlying data that shapes the outcome of every match.

Make informed predictions: Leverage the power of xG to predict future matches with greater confidence.

Join the growing community, this is your passport to a deeper understanding and appreciation of the beautiful game.

Get your copy today and become a true football analysis guru!

• Language: English
• Publisher: Michael Smith
• Release date: Jun 5, 2024
• ISBN: 9798227203069

Michael Smith

About the Author: Mastering the Betfair Market I'm a passionate sports trader with a track record of profiting on Betfair's platform. My expertise lies in uncovering hidden value, particularly in low-scoring games that others might write off. Through in-depth analysis and a strategic approach, I've developed a unique methodology that utilizes Betfair's Cash Out feature to turn seemingly uninspiring matches into winning opportunities. But my journey doesn't stop there. I'm committed to empowering others to achieve similar success. That's why I've established a thriving Patreon community where I share exclusive insights, advanced strategies, and ongoing support. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, my goal is to equip you with the knowledge and confidence to navigate the world of Betfair sports trading. Get ready to unlock your full potential and join me on the path to consistent profits.

Book preview

The xG Explained

A Beginner's Guide to Football Analytics

Introduction

Welcome to the world of Expected Goals (xG)!

This revolutionary metric has transformed football analysis, offering a deeper understanding of team and player performance beyond simply counting goals scored.

In this ebook, we'll delve into the fascinating world of xG, exploring how it works, how to interpret it, and how it's used by analysts and fans alike to gain a sharper edge on the beautiful game.

What is xG and Why Does it Matter?

Forget just counting shots. xG goes beyond quantity to assess the quality of a scoring opportunity. It takes historical shot data into account, considering various factors like:

Shot Location: The Prime Real Estate of xG

A shot taken close to the goal has a higher xG value than one taken from a long distance.

Imagine the goal as a divided zone, with some areas being much more likely to result in a goal than others.

This is essentially how Shot Location is factored into xG.

Here's a breakdown:

Golden Zone:

The area closest to the goal, typically around the six-yard box (the small rectangle in front of the goal).

Shots taken from here have the highest xG value because the striker has very little distance to cover and a clear shot at the target.

Imagine a striker dribbles past defenders and gets into the penalty area.

They're now in what's called the Golden Zone.

This prime real estate is the area closest to the goal, typically around the six-yard box (the small rectangle marked on the field in front of the goal).

From here, the striker has a very good chance of