Lessons of Super Thursday

FromFT Hard Currency

Start listening View podcast show

Lessons of Super Thursday

FromFT Hard Currency

ratings:

Length:

1 minute

Released:

Aug 6, 2015

Format:

Podcast episode

Description

Michael Hunter is joined by Stephen Gallo of Bank of Montreal to discuss what we learnt about the timing and pace of the Bank of England's next move on interest rates, the performance of the pound, and the risks weighing on the minds of Fed and BoE policymakers as they ponder when to raise rates For information regarding your data privacy, visit acast.com/privacy

Released:

Aug 6, 2015

Format:

Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Financial Times foreign exchange correspondent Roger Blitz talks to experts on the currencies market about the week ahead, looking at the global political and economic factors driving the world’s largest market.

Skip carousel

Haven currencies, who’s selling the euro and the Australian dollar: Currencies correspondent Alice Ross explores the trends driving the global currencies market, this week focusing on sterling’s status as a haven currency, why the euro is still strong against the dollar and how a further rate cut in Australia will impa... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Currency intervention watch: Valentin Marinov, director of FX strategy at Citi, talks to FT currencies correspondent Alice Ross about currency interventions, looking at why the Swiss National Bank will keep defending the Swiss franc’s peg with the euro in the face of increasing mo... by FT Hard Currency
10 min listen
Talking down the euro: With Mario Draghi's efforts to talk down the euro bearing fruit, Delphine Strauss, currencies correspondent, asks Jane Foley, strategist at Rabobank, whether investors are now expecting too much of the ECB. And with central banks around the world ... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Will 2013 be the year of yen weakness?: As Japan prepares for an early election on December 16, the yen has come under pressure, falling against the dollar. Will this trend continue into next year? Ian Stannard, head of European FX strategy at Morgan Stanley, joins Alphaville reporter David ... by FT Hard Currency
9 min listen
No silver bullet for currencies: This week the FT's currency correspondent Alice Ross is joined by Humayun Shahryar, chief executive of hedge fund Auvest Capital Management, to discuss the Fed's decision not to introduce a third round of quantitative easing, the difficulty o... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
What's stopping the dollar?: With the greenback trading at a two-week low against the euro, Delphine Strauss, currencies correspondent, asks Matt Cobon, head of rates and currencies at Threadneedle Investments, why the consensus bet on dollar strength is not yet paying off. Also, ... by FT Hard Currency
8 min listen
EU Summit special: Can euro optimism last?: John Normand, global head of FX strategy at JPMorgan, talks to FT currencies correspondent Alice Ross about the prospects for the euro following the EU summit and the outlook for emerging market currencies For information regarding your data privacy, ... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Yen special: In a week in which the dollar has finally broken through the 100 barrier against the yen, currencies correspondent Alice Ross is joined by Ian Stannard, foreign currency strategist at Morgan Stanley to discuss the regional impact of the weaker yen and ... by FT Hard Currency
10 min listen
The other view on Greece and QE prospects for the US and UK: FT currencies correspondent Alice Ross talks to Steven Saywell, head of FX currency strategy in Europe at BNP Paribas about why he thinks a Greek exit is unlikely and remains bullish on the euro, as well as a look ahead to the US non-farm payroll data ... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Pressures on the euro and safe havens: FT currencies correspondent Alice Ross talks to global head of FX strategy at HSBC David Bloom about the pressures on the euro and why he is forecasting a rise in value, the Norwegian krone’s haven status and why the pound is doing well. For informati... by FT Hard Currency
9 min listen
Why QE doesn’t necessarily weaken currencies: In the FT’s look at the week ahead in forex, Elsa Lignos, senior G10 currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets tells Alice Ross, the FT currencies correspondent, why the ECB rate cut has sent the euro south why sterling isn’t a true haven currency. F... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Rollercoaster ride for dollar-yen pair: It's been a month of huge moves for the dollar-yen pair. Ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting in June, Alice Ross, FT currencies correspondent, asks Shahab Jalinoos, FX strategist with UBS, what he expects from the talks as well as whether ... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
How far are interest rate expectations supporting sterling?: With the pound up about 4 per cent against the dollar since hitting a cyclical low in January, and up about 5 per cent against the euro over the same period, how much are interest rate expectations supporting the UK currency. Neil Dennis discusses ster... by FT Hard Currency
9 min listen
Yen intervention unlikely, but markets expect more ECB bond buying: Derek Halpenny, European head of global currency research at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi, talks to Alice Ross, FT currencies correspondent about why intervention from the Bank of Japan into the yen is unlikely despite the currency’s strength and why whils... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Mixed news for sterling: This week Alice Ross, the FT’s currencies correspondent, is joined by Javier Corominas, head of research and fx strategy at Record Currency Management, to discuss what’s driving the pound and euro weakness as the Draghi effect fades. They also look at ... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Is QE priced into the euro for 2015?: With all eyes on the European Central Bank for January, is full-blown quantitative easing priced into the single currency yet? Alice Ross, markets correspondent, discusses the outlook for the euro, as well as the dollar and the yen in 2015, with Pet... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Why all countries are looking for a weak currency: Kathleen Brooks, research director at Forex.com talks to FT currencies correspondent Alice Ross about the prospects for more – and different - QE in the USA, why action from the Bank of Japan to weaken the yen is unlikely, and why the Australian dollar... by FT Hard Currency
9 min listen
How much further for the pound?: Bob Savage of hedge fund FX Concepts joins Alice Ross, currencies correspondent, to discuss the beating that sterling has taken, when the Fed will end QE and the implications for the dollar, and the impact of the election in Italy. For information reg... by FT Hard Currency
8 min listen
What effect will the Greek elections have on the euro?: Mansoor Mohi-Uddin, head of FX strategy at UBS, joins the FT's currencies correspondent Alice Ross to discuss how the euro might drive currency markets in the wake of the Greek elections, the likelihood of a new round of QE3 in the US in light of ... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Shrugging off sanctions: With the forex market showing only a modest reaction to tougher sanctions against Russia, Delphine Strauss, currencies correspondent, asks Elsa Lignos, strategist at RBC Capital Markets, whether currency investors have become less sensitive to geopolit... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Lessons of Super Thursday: Michael Hunter is joined by Stephen Gallo of Bank of Montreal to discuss what we learnt about the timing and pace of the Bank of England's next move on interest rates, the performance of the pound, and the risks weighing on the minds of Fed and Bo... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
August caution, and is the Aussie dollar overvalued?: Matt Cobon, fixed income manager and FX specialist at Threadneedle Asset Management talks to Alice Ross, FT currency correspondent, about why low volatility in the market means traders are taking risk off the table, why the Australian dollar looks over... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Traders focus on yields: Simon Derrick, chief currency strategist at BNY Mellon and Alice Ross, FT currencies correspondent look at the week ahead in forex. Is the movement of funds out of the euro is a sign of flight, or the possible beginning of a carry trade in euros? Why t... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Is there any relief for emerging markets?: With the sell-off in EM currencies deepening, Delphine Strauss, currencies correspondent, asks Koon Chow of Barclays Capital, what is driving investors’ behaviour, how currency weakness will affect other assets - and which countries might welcome depre... by FT Hard Currency
9 min listen
Is Switzerland the new China?: This week our currencies correspondent Alice Ross is joined by Kit Juckes from Société Générale to discuss what's going on behind the scenes with the Swiss franc, what next for the euro following the recent ECB meeting and the strength of the Aust... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
The return of volatility: After the greenback's biggest one-day fall in more than a year, Delphine Strauss, currencies correspondent, asks Matthew Cobon, fund manager at Threadneedle Investments, whether this is the end of the dollar rally; whether volatility will persist;... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
The dollar rally stalls: With Fed officials underlining concerns over the exchange rate, Delphine Strauss, currencies correspondent, asks Derek Halpenny, strategist at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi, whether the dollar’s three month surge can continue; how the yen is affected by cha... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen
Commodity currencies and the US dollar: With the Australian and New Zealand dollars hitting multi-month lows against the US dollar, Elsa Lignos, currency strategist at RBC Capital joins currencies correspondent Alice Ross to discuss the mood on commodity currencies. Also, is central bank int... by FT Hard Currency
8 min listen
No silver bullet for currencies: This week the FT's currency correspondent Alice Ross is joined by Humayun Sharyar, chief executive of hedge fund Auvest Capital Management, to discuss the Fed's decision not to introduce a third round of quantitative easing, the difficulty of... by FT Hard Currency
10 min listen
ECB raises the stakes against Greece: Neil Dennis is joined by Steve Barrow from Standard Bank to discuss the ECB's decision to raise the stakes against Greece by tightening the Greek Central Bank's access to liquidity and the possible domino effects, the Australian Central Bank... by FT Hard Currency
1 min listen

More Episodes from FT Hard Currency

Skip carousel

Death of the dollar bears: The US currency's ascent in 2018 has surprised many analysts and investors. The reflation trade that followed the election of Donald Trump was not expected to last. Stephen Gallo of the Bank of Montreal tells Michael Hunter why the rally has endur... by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
Markets on horns of euro-dollar dilemma: A Federal Reserve rate rise had little impact on the dollar while ECB president Mario Draghi drove the euro higher with optimistic comments on eurozone wages and inflation. But is that enough for a sustained market push to buy euros and sell dollars? J... by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
Brexit, trade tensions, and why investors don't look too fussed: Trade tensions are hotting up, Brexit talks are souring and the Federal Reserve is gearing up for another rate hike, yet currencies in the firing line, from emerging markets to sterling, seem unperturbed. Jane Foley of Rabobank tells Roger Blitz why cu... by FT Hard Currency
12 min listen
Wages growth pays dividend for euro and sterling: Inflation strength in Europe and the the UK and weakness in the US were important factors in forex as central banks took centre stage, while Turkey's big interest rate rise helped stabilise emerging markets. Kamal Sharma of BofA Merrill Lynch tell... by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
EM can't catch a break: A week dominated by falls in emerging market currencies, notably the South African rand, is triggering another bout of concern that the problems that afflicted the Argentine peso and the Turkish lira this year are becoming contagious. Kit Juckes of Soc... by FT Hard Currency
12 min listen
Pushed around by politics: The British pound, Argentina's peso and Turkey's lira: all of them in the news and all getting pushed around (albeit in different directions) by politics. Katie Martin talks to Eoin Murray, head of investment at Hermes, about what the moves a... by FT Hard Currency
9 min listen
Troubling Trump depresses the dollar: The dollar came under pressure on two fronts this week - Donald Trump's impeachment risk and the president's disparaging remarks about the Federal Reserve for raising US interest rates. But it is the Fed's own views, with a tilt... by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
Turkish turmoil raises markets' temperature: Turkey's troubled lira, worries about emerging market currencies and the impact of sanctions and tariffs on the rouble and renminbi have put foreign exchange at the heart of the financial market's traditional August anxiety. Derek Halpenny of... by FT Hard Currency
13 min listen
Dollar to drive on, pound to stay pat: Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell this week injected renewed vigour into the dollar, while weak data and Brexit woes undermined the pound. David Bloom of HSBC tells Roger Blitz why the case for continued dollar strength is more convincing than the case ... by FT Hard Currency
12 min listen
Pound takes a pass on Boris blow-out: Investors treated the UK foreign secretary's resignation with little concern, leaving the pound poised for a rally as the prospect of a softer Brexit looms into view. Ugo Lancioni of Neuberger Berman tells Roger Blitz why he is a buyer of sterling... by FT Hard Currency
12 min listen
China plays its currency card: China's central bank verbally intervened to stabilise the renminbi after a fall that echoed the dramatic declines of 2015-16. Stephen Gallo of Bank of Montreal tells Roger Blitz what we learned about China's currency strategy and argues that ... by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
Markets mindful of Merkel's migration problems: Investors have barely had time to acknowledge that there is an EU summit taking place, as trade wars and China worries occupy their thoughts. But as John Wraith of UBS tells Roger Blitz, that's not to say they are complacent about the implications... by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
EM sell-off: now it's Asia's turn: The emerging markets sell-off is starting to weigh on Asian currencies. Mansoor Mohi-uddin of NatWest Markets explores the reasons with Roger Blitz, looking at the impact of trade tensions on China and Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell's ambivalenc... by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
Fed flies, ECB evolves: A big week in the policy making world saw the US Federal Reserve plough on with rate hikes while the European Central Bank took a more dovish approach, even though it set a timetable for the end of asset purchases. Michael Sneyd of BNP Paribas tells Ro... by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
Euro-bulls should rein in their euphoria: European Central Bank policymakers warmed up investors to a potentially big announcement next week on asset purchases and normalisation, sending the euro higher. Does this mark the end of the dollar rally? Not so fast, Rabobank's Jane Foley tells ... by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
Rome's home truths for markets: Markets were guilty of complacency about Italy, says Adrian Hilton of Columbia Threadneedle, failing to appreciate the existential threat to the euro. He tells Roger Blitz what this week's fallout in bonds and currencies means for investors' ... by FT Hard Currency
10 min listen
How to digest a roasted Turkey: The Turkish lira's collapse has emerging market investors wondering whether there is any case for continuing to hold assets there. Yerlan Syzdykov of European asset manager Amundi, who was among those investors to lunch with president Recep Tayyip... by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
Ripple effects of EM forex falls: Local factors are contributing to sharp falls in the currencies of Argentina and Turkey, but other emerging markets cannot escape the impact of the dollar's strength. Simon Quijano-Evans of Legal & General Investment Management looks ... by FT Hard Currency
12 min listen
EM investors' pain trade: The rout in emerging market currencies has exposed investors to an uncomfortable realisation - they were too willing to buy the EM rally at the start of the year, says Roger Hallam of JP Morgan Asset Management. He spells out to Roger Blitz the lessons... by FT Hard Currency
10 min listen
Don’t dismiss dollar drive: The sharp rally in the dollar has investors asking whether it is sustainable or about to fizzle out. Simon Derrick of BNY Mellon has the answer, and as he tells Roger Blitz it’s all to do with yield. by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
Forget the dollar, follow the yield: A rising dollar and a rising oil price are two of the big market moves of the week. But as Bill McQuaker of Fidelity International tells Roger Blitz, the biggest was the 10-year Treasury yield hitting 3 per cent, signalling the end of the bond bull mar... by FT Hard Currency
13 min listen
Doubt dominates market mood: Despite global growth, investors are struggling to find a driver, not just in foreign exchange but in other markets. What's causing this doubt and introspection? Helen Thomas of macro-economic consultancy Blonde Money tells Roger Blitz that three ... by FT Hard Currency
12 min listen
FX fails to get the memo: With some notable exceptions, currencies are spookily quiet in the middle of tensions over trade, signs of slowing growth in Europe, and the ever-present risk that Twitter spats could spiral into geopolitical crises. But Tim Graf of State Street Global... by FT Hard Currency
9 min listen
EM embraces the change: Trade tensions and equity sell-offs should be making investors wary of risky emerging market assets. But Wike Groenenberg of BNP Paribas tells Roger Blitz why EM is proving resilient to market pressures and looks at the factors that will influence its ... by FT Hard Currency
12 min listen
Keep calm, but keep an eye on protectionism: January's euphoria seems a world away as volatility infects markets, but Silvia Dall'Angelo of Hermes Investment Management tells Roger Blitz that economic fundamentals are still sound and the dollar remains under pressure. The big worry, how... by FT Hard Currency
13 min listen
Doubts about the dollar, positives for for the pound: A Fed rate hike, market tensions about tariffs, a Brexit transition deal and Bank of England hawkishness - Erik Norland of CME Group tells Roger Blitz why things are looking up for sterling and less promising for the greenback by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
Currency traders track a trade 'cold war': How big an impact is the prospect of an international trade dispute centred on US tariffs having on the foreign exchange market? Viraj Patel joins the FT's Michael Hunter to look at the main factors moving currencies, including economic fundamenta... by FT Hard Currency
9 min listen
Euro on the edge: The European Central Bank is creeping towards the exit from super-stimulative monetary policy. How can it do this without sending the euro flying, particularly while US trade policy unnerves dollar bulls? Stephen Gallo from BMO Capital Markets talked t... by FT Hard Currency
9 min listen
Powell pumps up the dollar: New Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell's optimistic view of the US economy and faster rate hikes caused stocks to sell off and the dollar to rise. But Jean Medecin of Carmignac thinks this outlook is too rosy, and that the world needs to ge... by FT Hard Currency
12 min listen
Dollar decline - here to stay: Federal Reserve hawkishness and market nerves have given the dollar a reprieve from depreciation, but reasons for its weakness far outweigh reasons why it may rebound. Bilal Hafeez of Nomura tells Roger Blitz that not only are we in a dollar bear marke... by FT Hard Currency
12 min listen

Related podcast episodes

Skip carousel

Wither the dollar?: The world's reserve currency hit a 14-month low after the Fed's statement on monetary policy this week. Concern about the US central bank's preoccupation with softer-than-expected inflation put the dollar under broad pressure. Stephen Ga... by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
Death of the dollar bears: The US currency's ascent in 2018 has surprised many analysts and investors. The reflation trade that followed the election of Donald Trump was not expected to last. Stephen Gallo of the Bank of Montreal tells Michael Hunter why the rally has endur... by FT Hard Currency
11 min listen
The long and noisy road toward normal monetary policy: In the week the European Central Bank outlined its plans to wind down stimulus, Stephen Gallo of the Bank of Montreal joins Michael Hunter to tune into the signals hidden in the noise by FT Hard Currency
10 min listen
The central bankers’ rodeo: We look at new papers published at the central bankers’ summit in Jackson Hole by Unhedged
18 min listen
Surveillance: Sentance, Peabody, Holland, Zentner: Surveillance: Sentance, Peabody, Holland, Zentner by Bloomberg Surveillance
36 min listen
Daily Briefing - June 4, 2020: Ash Bennington and Roger Hirst discuss the latest developments in macro, markets, and coronavirus. by Real Vision: Finance & Investing
37 min listen
China's renminbi one year on: One step at a time from the PBoC: Stephen Gallo from the Bank of Montreal looks back at China' s move to devalue its currency a year ago, and tells Michael Hunter that policymakers have since adopted a softly-softly approach to ensuring the renminbi can reflect the rebalancing of ... by FT Hard Currency
14 min listen
Daily Briefing – Aug 27, 2020 – Sentiment is Shifting in the Markets: Tommy Thornton: Senior editor, Ash Bennington, hosts Tommy Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, to take a pulse check on recent market activity. by Real Vision: Finance & Investing
42 min listen
Fed Had a Role in Causing Financial Crisis, Cato's Allison Says: Fed Had a Role in Causing Financial Crisis, Cato’s Allison Says by Bloomberg Surveillance
55 min listen
Unpacking the Fed's hawkish turn - Jim Iuorio and Brent Schutte join Alpha Trader by Alpha Trader
45 min listen
Surveillance: Market Pricing with Donald by Bloomberg Surveillance
20 min listen
FedWatch 137 - Operation Chokepoint 2.0! Central Banks continue to Hike Rates! by Bitcoin Magazine Podcast
62 min listen
Surveillance: Recovery Risks With Rogoff by Bloomberg Surveillance
26 min listen
Paid Post: Recession watch – part 4: A eurozone slowdown is anticipated, triggered by recession fears in Germany, domino effects from the US/China trade war and Brexit uncertainty weighing on potential growth. IG Senior Analyst Josh Mahoney and Daniel Lacalle of Tressis discuss how ECB mo... by Investors' Chronicle
9 min listen
SQUAWK BOX, THURSDAY 29TH JUNE, 2023 by Squawk Box Europe Express
27 min listen
Surveillance: The Dollar Can Climb Higher, Foley Says by Bloomberg Surveillance
38 min listen
Bank of England Hiking But UK in Recession? (Audio) by Bloomberg Daybreak: Europe Edition
13 min listen
Moving Cash Is Faster Than Ever. It Makes Bank Runs Hard To Stop. by The NPR Politics Podcast
17 min listen
Ready for rate cuts? The gap between the Fed and Europe by Reuters World News
21 min listen
Wie der US-Dollar die Opec getrieben hat (Express): Energieanalyst Johannes Benigni über die Entscheidung der Opec+ und die Entwicklung des Ölpreises. by Investment Briefing
2 min listen
Time is ripe for commodity and emerging market currencies: Time is ripe for commodity and emerging market currencies by FT Hard Currency
8 min listen
Will the Fed Become President Trump's Next Punching Bag? by What'd You Miss This Week
25 min listen
Bonus Content: Odd Lots x Surveillance discuss Jackson Hole by Bloomberg Surveillance
33 min listen
For The First Time In Years, Why People Are Suddenly Talking About Inflation Again by Odd Lots
35 min listen
Financial Inclusion, the Fed, & Forecasting America’s Covid Future: Operation Hope founder John Hope Bryant is working with former SEC Chair Jay Clayton to expand financial literacy and inclusion across the country, in an effort to shrink poverty and the wealth gap in the U.S. Nonresident Fellow at Brookings and NBC News contributor Dr. Kavita Patel considers what a third wave of Covid in Europe may mean for the pandemic trajectory here at home. A Covid-free world, she suggests, may not be the post-pandemic reality. Investors are eyeing GameStop after its quarterly earnings call; Hightower CIO and Portfolio Manager Stephanie Link weighs the risks of the meme stock trade. Plus, Elon Musk is midnight tweeting, and the markets are digesting comments from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. by Squawk Pod
34 min listen
The lag effect by Making Money Easy
21 min listen
ECB TLTRO auction, Scotland's No vote and the foreign exchange trading probe: Patrick Jenkins is joined by Martin Arnold, Sam Fleming and Daniel Schäfer, as well as Huw van Steenis of Morgan Stanley, to discuss the ECB’s latest policy initiatives as the first figures emerge in the so-called TLTRO auction of cheap money, the impa... by FT Banking Weekly
13 min listen
Bitcoin: "Finding Its Seat at the Macro Table" : DB-Oct 27, 2020: Ash Bennington welcomes Tony Greer back to the Daily Briefing to make sense of price action in equities, bonds, currencies, and commodities. by Real Vision: Finance & Investing
30 min listen
Special Edition: What the future holds for financial services: Listen to Bank of America’s Christian Stolcke, Head of Global Financial Institutions, NBFIs and Governments, as he shares insights from this year’s Sibos with TMI on treasury trends, including emerging technologies and ISO 20022. Host Eleanor Hill, ... by Bank of America Treasury Insights
14 min listen
Surveillance: Dollar Centrality Up Since 2008, Mallaby Says by Bloomberg Surveillance
30 min listen

Discover this podcast and so much more

Lessons of Super Thursday

Lessons of Super Thursday

Description

Titles in the series (100)

More Episodes from FT Hard Currency

Related podcast episodes