CPI, Consumers, and Cosmo

FromMoody's Talks - Inside Economics

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CPI, Consumers, and Cosmo

FromMoody's Talks - Inside Economics

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Length:

71 minutes

Released:

Jan 14, 2022

Format:

Podcast episode

Description

Michael McNamara, Senior Principal for MasterCard, joins Mark, Ryan, and Cris to discuss the state of the American consumer and the impact of Omicron on spending. Full episode transcript

Released:

Jan 14, 2022

Format:

Podcast episode

Titles in the series (100)

Join Chief Economist Mark Zandi, Ryan Sweet and Cristian deRitis as they discuss key indicators and other aspects of the global economy. Contact us at insideeconomics@moodys.com. Visit online at www.economy.com/economicview

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Inside Economics Trailer - Mark Zandi: Mark Zandi welcomes you to the “Inside Economics” podcast and discusses what will be covered in the series. Subscribe today! by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
1 min listen
Inflection Points and Inflation: Mark Zandi and team discuss the economic recovery, whether we are at an inflection point, consumer and business confidence and recent performance indicators. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
45 min listen
Shortages and Supply Chains: Tim Uy, Todd Metcalfe, and Jesse Rogers, all economists at Moody's Analytics, join Mark and Ryan to discuss global supply chains and commodity shortages. The focus is on issuances around semiconductors, lumber, and copper. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
90 min listen
Flipped Signs and Forecast Philosophy: Marisa DiNatale, Senior Director at Moody's Analytics, joins Mark, Ryan, and Cris and they recall their own favorite and least favorite forecast of all-time. They also discuss different approaches to forecasting, the meaning of being accurate, and who is a hedgehog or fox. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
89 min listen
Work and Work from Anywhere: Adam Ozimek Chief Economist at Upwork, joins Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team to discuss the recent job numbers and productivity. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
62 min listen
Digital Currency and Delta: Aaron Klein, Senior Fellow in economic studies at Brookings Institute, joins Mark, Cris, and Ryan to discuss the current state and future of crypto currencies. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
83 min listen
Diffusion Indices and Deficits: In this episode of Inside Economics, our weekly podcast, Bernard Yaros, Economist at Moody's Analytics, joins Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team to discuss fiscal policy, debt and deficits. We also discuss this weeks data, including inflation, lumber prices, tax refunds and the CNN/Moody's Analytics back-to-normal index. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
71 min listen
Jobs Jobs Jobs: Mark, Ryan, and Cris welcome back their first repeat appearance guest - Dante DeAntonio, Senior Economist at Moodys Analytics. They breakdown the numbers in the July Employment Report and discuss the labor force and productivity in great detail. They also touch on the Delta Variant and its impact on the economy. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
70 min listen
Back to Normal and Build Back Better: Mark Zandi and team discuss the trade deficit, jobless claims, the Back to Normal Index and President Biden's infrastructure plan. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
46 min listen
A Booming Economy and Bubbles: Mark Zandi and team discuss the recent jobs report, bubbles, cryptocurrencies and expectations for the economy. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
35 min listen
Housing and Happy Birthday: Jim Parrott at Urban Institute, joins Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team to discuss the state of the U.S. housing market and the supply issues its facing. We also discuss this week's key economic data. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
64 min listen
Delta and Debt: Mark, Ryan, and Cris welcome back Marisa Di Natale, Senior Director at Moody's Analytics to discuss the impact of the Delta variant of COVID-19 on the U.S. economy. The big topic is the health of the American household balance sheet. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
73 min listen
Manufacturing and Mark on Fire: Chad Moutray, Chief Economist of National Association of Manufacturers, joins the podcast to discuss manufacturing, supply chains, and labor market shortages. Mark is on a hot streak in the stats game. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
76 min listen
Monetary Policy and Multiple Models: Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team discuss the latest indicators, follow up on one of their first podcast topics - inflation, and discuss their individual models. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
70 min listen
Confidence and Consumer Spending Momentum: Wayne Best, Chief Economist of Visa, joins Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team to discuss the labor market, housing, and Visa's spending momentum index. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
69 min listen
Holiday Sales and Housing Supply: Ed Golding, Executive Director of the MIT Golub Center for Finance and Policy and a Senior Lecturer at MIT Sloan, joins Mark, Ryan, and Cris to discuss all things related to the U.S. housing market. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
79 min listen
Rates and Reflation: Mark Zandi and team discuss interest rates, 10-year treasury yield, inflation, monetary policy, and when we can expect to get back to full employment. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
39 min listen
ECI and ECB: Kamil Kovar, Economist at Moody's Analytics, joins Mark, Cris and Ryan to discuss U.S. and euro zone GDP along with wages. They also discuss Mark's cancelled flight and the big topic was monetary policy in the U.S. and euro zone. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
79 min listen
Lumber and Labor Force: The economy is booming, should President Biden get the credit? ...and what about his newly unveiled American Families plan? Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team discuss. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
46 min listen
LNG and Long Tail (It's a Groundhog, not a Chipmunk): Mark, Ryan, and Cris discuss unemployment insurance benefits, Delta variant, and what happened this week in Washington, DC. The main topic is the long-term economic consequences of the pandemic. Also, Mark reveals his favorite movie. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
77 min listen
Red Shirts and REFIs: Jared Bernstein, Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, joins the podcast to discuss the state of the U.S. economy, including the labor market, inflation, housing and recession risks. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
78 min listen
Consumer Prices and Cars: Mike Brisson, Senior Economist at Moody's Analytics joins Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team to discuss the latest CPI report, labor market, homebuyer perceptions, and the vehicle market. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
66 min listen
Jobs and More Jobs: Dante DeAntonio, Senior Economist at Moody's Analytics, joins Mark Zandi to discuss the May U.S. employment report and the state of the labor market. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
64 min listen
Hospitality Jobs and Hurricanes: Mark and Ryan welcome back Adam Kamins, Director of Regional Economics at Moody's Analytics, to discuss the August job numbers, the Delta variant, and economic costs of Hurricane Ida. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
62 min listen
Fear Gauge and Frothy Markets: Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team discuss what they are watching to gauge the health of the economy and the big topic was froth in asset markets. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
64 min listen
Probability of Recession and Puppies for Everyone: Kevin Hassett, Vice President and Managing Director of the Lindsey Group and former Chair of the Council of Economics under President Trump, joins Mark, Ryan, and Cris to discuss the risk of a recession, inflation, and tax proposals in President Biden's Build Back Better legislation. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
77 min listen
Beige Book and Betting on Oil Prices: Mark, Ryan, and Cris welcome Gaurav Ganguly, a Senior Director of Economic Research at Moody's Analytics and Chris Lafakis, a Director of Economic Research. They discuss global energy markets, the effect on the economy and where energy prices are headed. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
78 min listen
China Angst and Container Cost: Daniel Rosen, founder of Rhodium Group, joins Mark, Ryan, and Cris to discuss all things China. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
75 min listen
CPI and Census: Adam Kamins, Director of Regional Economics at Moody's Analytics, joins Mark Zandi and the Moody's Analytics team to discuss the recent inflation data and 2020 Census. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
59 min listen
CPI, Consumers, and Cosmo: Michael McNamara, Senior Principal for MasterCard, joins Mark, Ryan, and Cris to discuss the state of the American consumer and the impact of Omicron on spending. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
71 min listen

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Jitters Over Jobs: Dante joins the podcast to break down the June employment report. While everyone agreed that the report was mostly good, concerns remain around the concentration of job gains and the slowdown in hiring. With job growth moderating and the unemployment rate edging higher, the team argues that the time is now for the Fed to start cutting rates. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Bonus Episode: Assessing the Macroeconomic Consequences of Biden vs. Trump: President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump will pursue very different economic policies if reelected. Both have put forward a wide range of proposals to change the tax code, government spending, and trade, immigration and regulatory policies that if implemented could have significant consequences on the economy’s performance for years to come. In this bonus episode of Inside Economics, the team considers what policies would likely be implemented under different election scenarios and their economic impact. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
66 min listen
Dreadful Debate, Good Data: The team gives their impressions of Thursday night’s Presidential debate (hint: it involves existential dread). Then, the focus switches to the latest inflation data. Matt Colyar joins to give an overview of May’s encouraging PCE deflator report and what it implies for Fed policy. The episode closes with a roundtable discussion about the long and variable lags in which Fed policy effects the economy, and whether that means the central bank should start loosening policy now. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
54 min listen
Jason Dorsey on Generations: The Inside Economics podcast welcomes Jason Dorsey to talk about the generations that characterize the American population. The conversation takes up what event(s) define each generation, from 9/11 for the Millennials to COVID for Gen Z, and then turns to each generation’s traits and behaviors. The podcast was generationally well-balanced, with Mark the aging Boomer, Marisa and Cris the skeptical Xers, and Jason the creative Millennial. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
72 min listen
Stubborn Inflation, Reluctant Fed: As long as inflation remains above the Fed’s target, and the Fed maintains its higher for longer interest rate policy in response, it is premature to conclude the economy has soft-landed. This episode is a replay of the “Stubborn Inflation, Reluctant Fed” webinar hosted by Chief Economist Mark Zandi and team, as they discuss what it will take for inflation to abate, the Fed to ease, and the economy to soft-land, and what could derail this. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
76 min listen
Inflation, The Fed, and Mark's Mystery: Matt and Marisa join Mark, who called in from an undisclosed location, to discuss this week’s CPI report and FOMC meeting on interest rates. They all agree that the CPI numbers were unambiguously positive and that the Fed will begin to cut interest rates this fall. They play the statistics game, made more difficult by the dearth of economic releases so far this week, and take a few listener questions related to inflation/deflation, OER, and the Fed. For a deeper dive on inflation and how it's measured, check out the bonus episode--a replay of a webinar hosted by Mark, Cris and Marisa on inflation and the Fed. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
58 min listen
Making Sense of the Jobs #: In a rare Saturday morning taping of the podcast, Dante and Matt join Mark (where’s Cris and Marisa?) to disentangle the considerable crosscurrents in the May jobs report. Surging immigration is complicating interpretation of the numbers. Next week’s all-important report on consumer price inflation was also the fodder of discussion, as was Mark’s Washington Post op-ed arguing the Fed should cut rates. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
62 min listen
Economic Exceptionalism: Mark, Marisa, and Cris are joined by their colleague Matt Colyar as they delve into the resilience of the U.S. economy. Matt kicks off the conversation with a rundown of the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data and its implications for monetary policy. Following a brief, engaging Stats Game, the team explores the reasons behind the U.S. economy's rapid and robust recovery compared to the rest of the world. The discussion concludes with answers to audience questions, focusing on the implications of quantitative easing/tightening and the predictive power of the yield curve. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
77 min listen
Assets and Answers: Stock prices, house values, and even gold and crypto prices have never been higher. The team discuss the reasons why, whether it is a bubble, where prices are headed and what it all means for consumers and the broader economy. They also play the game and take listener questions. Keep them coming dear listener. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
80 min listen
Inflation - Could've Been Worse: Jonathan Smoke from Cox Automotive and Mike Brisson of Moody’s join the crew for a discussion of inflation and autos. The team dissects this week’s CPI report, which while not great, at least wasn’t worse than expected. Mark argues that the Fed should be looking through the inflation data that’s mixed up with the problematic measures of housing inflation and start lowering rates immediately. The team is mostly on board with this view although Mike convincingly argues that it may be better for the Fed to be “credibly wrong” than incredibly right. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
78 min listen
Houser on the Green Energy Transition: The Inside Economics team is joined by Moody’s Analytics colleague Chris Lafakis along with Trevor Houser from the Energy & Climate practice at Rhodium Group for a discussion on how the Inflation Reduction Act promotes the U.S.'s transition to green energy. Podcast host Mark Zandi kicks things off with a quick overview of recent economic developments. The conversation then shifts to a discussion of the IRA’s incentives and tax provisions. Following a brief statistics game, the group explores the potential impact of the upcoming election on the green energy transition. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
79 min listen
Jobs Friday: On the Couch with Dr. Zandi: Inside Economics regular Dante DeAntonio joins the podcast to discuss the April jobs report. It was something of a surprise, but a happy one, at least for Dante and Mark. The job market remains strong, but is cooling, opening the window just a bit for the Fed to begin cutting rates. But Cris and Marisa weren’t so sure, worried that the report may signal the start of a more serious slowdown. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
67 min listen
Philly Thrives, More Immigrants Arrive: The Inside Economics team is down a regular with Cris on the road, but two Moody’s Analytics colleagues, Adam Kamins and Laura Ratz, try to fill the void. Mark and Marisa recap a busy week by talking about GDP, inflation, and even Fed independence. The discussion of domestic migration features a healthy dose of Philadelphia homer-ism, and the team talks about the implications of the recent surge in immigration, along with plans for new population estimates from the Congressional Budget Office. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Rockey on Real Estate: Deputy Chief Economist at Cushman Wakefield, Rebecca Rockey, joins the Inside Economics crew to talk about the outlook for commercial real estate and the economy in general. After unpacking the week’s economic events and a quick primer on outrigger canoe paddling, Rebecca walks the IE team through the different segments of CRE and how they’re faring. Mark goes through a “what’s bugging me about CRE” list but Marisa can only see the bright side. Finally, Rebecca and Cris discuss their views on the possibility of a CRE doom loop. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Bonus Episode: Narrowing the Gender Participation Gap: Moody’s Analytics colleagues Elise Burton, Dawn Holland and Olia Kuranova join the podcast this week to discuss global female labor force participation and how it has changed since the pandemic. They identify a few key reasons for the recent narrowing of gender participation gaps, explore the economic impact of increased female participation, and discuss ways in which policymakers could encourage more women to join the labor force. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Debating Inflation Significant Digits: The disappointing March report on consumer price inflation is the fodder for this week’s Inside Economics podcast. The team considers just how big of a disappointment it was, and conclude it turns on second and third significant digits. Yes, that’s what it has come to when assessing just when Fed officials will feel sufficiently confident that inflation is headed back to their target and begin to cut rates. Of course, there are threats to the inflation outlook, most immediate being higher oil prices, which the group takes up. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Employment, Earthquakes, and the Eclipse: The March 2024 jobs report was picture perfect. Cris thought he had found a blemish in the numbers, but on closer inspection, not so much. Dante and Marisa explained how the economy could create so many jobs without fanning wage and price pressures. Think foreign immigration. And like stock investors, Mark found plenty to like in the report. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Baltimore Port Impacts: The Inside Economics team is joined by their Moody's Analytics colleagues, Mike Brisson and Steve Cochrane, to discuss the economic fallout from the tragic collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge and the subsequent closure of the Port of Baltimore. Mark Zandi kicks off the show with a rundown of the latest economic data and a healthy debate on the state of household finances ensues. The statistics game proves challenging even with Marisa providing an important hint. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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56 min listen
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Jaw Dropping January Jobs (Redux): Dante joins the podcast to break down the January employment report. Fitting for Groundhog’s Day, the jobs report delivered an eerily similar upside surprise to what we saw in January 2023. Following the January meeting of the FOMC this week, the team discusses what the Fed is likely to do in light of recent data. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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Tip-Top Economy, Treasury Threat: The Inside Economics team revels in the great economic numbers of the past week. The economy not only avoided a recession in 2023, but it ended the year enjoying robust GDP growth and tame inflation. But there are threats at the start of the new year, including a potential seizing up of the all-important Treasury bond market. Samim Ghamami of the SEC joins the podcast to discuss this threat, its causes and implications, and potential reforms to ensure it doesn’t upend financial markets and the economy. by Moody's Talks - Inside Economics
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CPI, Consumers, and Cosmo

CPI, Consumers, and Cosmo

Description

Titles in the series (100)

More Episodes from Moody's Talks - Inside Economics