Equities: YTD performance, rate cuts pricing, and Adobe earnings

Equities: Mike Tyson moment, Birkenstock IPO, Q3 earnings in focus: We are back with another episode on equities and with US bond yields galloping higher equities are under pressure. We talk about ways investors can reduce risk and what sectors or themes make sense under the pressure from higher interest rates. Then ... by Saxo Market Call

18 min listen

Equities: Is the mojo back? Novo Nordisk keeps surprising and Tesla earnings showdown: A lot of action has come back in equities with the latest move lower in the US 10-year yield following geopolitical events in the Middle East pushing equities higher again. We also debate the 'higher for longer' narrative and whether the backdrop for... by Saxo Market Call

20 min listen

Commodities: Will Santa deliver another golden gift?: Today we talk about the possibility of another Santa rally in gold and silver. The previous six years have had a strong December in those two precious metals - is the setup right again this year? The oil market is nervous with a tricky supply and dem... by Saxo Market Call

17 min listen

Commodities: Crude oil capitulation, the floor in gold, and roaring softs: In today's episode we discuss the recent plunge in crude oil which is definitely not part of the OPEC+ plan, the correction in gold following a strong period for equities, and finally we talk about the roaring prices in soft commodities due to extrem... by Saxo Market Call

17 min listen

Fixed-income: ECB pause, Treasury auctions, and yield curve positioning: The ECB is expected to maintain its policy rate on Thursday but the room for maneuver is tight for the ECB with the European economy in contraction and inflation remaining stubbornly high. Add to this rising US bond yields, potential tweak to BoJ yie... by Saxo Market Call

19 min listen

Equities: Nvidia growth bonanza, earnings estimates, and the surge in nuclear power theme: We discuss four topics today. Nvidia's earnings were incredible strong blasting estimates but US export controls are upsetting and lowering the visibility of its Chinese business. The US economy is still expanding but slowing down while earnings esti... by Saxo Market Call

13 min listen

Commodities: Gold defies rising bond yields, but why?: Today we talk about rising gold prices despite rising yields in a move that smells of investors seeking hedging for a financial system in which something could soon break due to rising bond yields. We also talk about the oil market and how it is perc... by Saxo Market Call

16 min listen

Options: How to take advantage of options: Today we discuss options and how investors and traders can use them. We go through an example on getting long exposure to Novo Nordisk, alternative entry strategies selling in-the-money puts, creating recurring income from selling covered call option... by Saxo Market Call

20 min listen

Fixed-income: The uptrend in bond yields remains, watch our for the BTP-Bund spread: The US bond market reaction to events in Israel over the weekend was delayed because of yesterday's closed US markets, but today bond trading has resumed and the initial reaction was lower bond yields. However, the longer end US bond yields have alre... by Saxo Market Call

16 min listen

Macro and FX: Potentially a defining moment in the Middle East: We are coming into this new week after a horrible weekend with geopolitical risks rising after Hamas' attack on Israel. The initial market reaction has been equities lower (-0.6%), Brent crude higher (+3.3%), gold and USD spot are also bid. But the m... by Saxo Market Call

16 min listen

Macro and FX: Will BoJ allow government bond yields to rise further?: It is a big week for central banks with rate decisions from Bank of Japan, the Fed, and Bank of England. In all cases, the central banks are expected make no changes to their policy rate, but Bank of Japan might tweak their yield-curve-control allowi... by Saxo Market Call

18 min listen

Commodities: Silver comeback, watch OPEC as crude oil slides lower: In today’s commodities focused podcast we explain what has driven the sudden comeback for semi industrial metals, such as silver and platinum. The current negative momentum in crude oil carrying the risk of an overshoot to the downside ahead of the N... by Saxo Market Call

17 min listen

Has the March rate cut been cancelled?: With Charu Chanana in the studio, we leave the earnings season aside for a while and focus on the macro side of things. We take a look at the US economy in the light of the very strong non-farm payroll report that came out Friday. We also discuss th... by Saxo Market Call

31 min listen

Commodities: Special edition with WisdomTree: In this week's extended commodity focused podcast we welcome Nitesh Shah, head of commodities research at WisdomTree, Europe's largest commodity ETP provider. First we discuss the pros and cons of investing in commodity ETPs vs companies, and what to... by Saxo Market Call

43 min listen

Fixed-income: The present opportunities in corporate bonds: In today's episode we talk about corporate bonds in USD and EUR taking a look at the historically high bond yields and investment grade vs high-yield spread. We also take a look at performance across the different corporate bond segments and zoom in ... by Saxo Market Call

19 min listen

Fixed-income: Fair value, inflation report and our outlook for bonds: This is the first fixed-income episode of the year and we are talking about the negative start to the year with rising bond yields and one US rate cut almost being priced out already. We also talk about whether the US 10-year yield here at 4% is attr... by Saxo Market Call

16 min listen

Commodities: Gold likes peak rates and is the oil market running out of steam?: Falling bond yields the past week and the market positioning itself for 'peak rates' have seen gold bid. We discuss the different aspect of why gold could extend its momentum and what to look out for. The terrible developments in the Middle East have... by Saxo Market Call

19 min listen

Fixed-income: Inflation expectations, views on yields, and Moody’s US rating outlook: While today's US inflation report will move markets and be important the longer term importance will come from inflation expectations which are all on the rise. In today's podcast we also talk about our views on bond yields given the market's pricing... by Saxo Market Call

17 min listen

Macro and FX: USD strength to get tested: The US economy has been the big positive this year defying every forecast but can this exceptional run in the US economy continue? We discuss that and also what this week's US GDP and PCE reports could mean for the USD. In today's podcast we also dis... by Saxo Market Call

17 min listen

Fixed-income: Biggest rally in US 10-year Treasuries since August 2011: Today we talk about government bond markets and whether market expectations are getting a bit ahead of themselves. Especially, the rally in UK Gilts market could be unsustainable given the underlying inflation and likely more fiscal stimulus next yea... by Saxo Market Call

14 min listen

Equities: Nikkei, Nvidia and PDD: In today's equity episode, Peter Garnry is back in the studio with Søren Otto. They discuss the Japanese Nikkei index in the light of the Bank of Japan rate hike. They also talk about Nvidia and it's new Blackwell platform. Finally, they dive into th... by Saxo Market Call

29 min listen

Equities: Key earnings, green transformation meltdown, and Q3 earnings status: Today we discuss three things. Earnings expected tomorrow from Apple, Novo Nordisk, and Fortinet. The green transformation meltdown that just continues every month with Orsted as the key example today down 16%. Finally, we discuss the earnings season... by Saxo Market Call

18 min listen

Fixed-income: A barbell strategy and three central banks: Today we talk about the three major central bank rate decisions this week (BoJ, Fed, and BoE) and how the bond market is pricing policy rate trajectory long-term in the US and Europe. we also explain the barbell strategy as one way to approach the bo... by Saxo Market Call

17 min listen

Fixed-income: What is fiscal dominance and why is it important?: Today's episode is about a concept called fiscal dominance which is when the fiscal policies begin to dominate the monetary policy. Under conditions of high debt levels and rising interest rates it can create a negative feedback loop in inflation and... by Saxo Market Call

20 min listen

Macro and FX: Weaker USD, China data, and RBA rate decision: In today's podcast we discuss the weaker USD on the back of the big risk-on move across markets last week, and whether the lower long-end US bond yields in fact cancel out a bit of Powell's remarks last week. We also discuss Bank of Japan and JPY, Ch... by Saxo Market Call

17 min listen

Macro and FX: Will central banks, inflation, and PMIs deliver fireworks?: This week is crucial for markets given the big moves last week across gold and JPY with Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday supporting the soft landing narrative. Tomorrow, the US inflation report will set the stage for the FOMC rate decision on Wednesday and... by Saxo Market Call

16 min listen

Equities: YTD performance, rate cuts pricing, and Adobe earnings: Today we discuss equity market performance across country indices and thematic baskets highlighting Nasdaq 100 as the big winner together with semiconductors and cyber security. We also talk about the equal weighted performance between US and Europea... by Saxo Market Call

16 min listen

Equities: Year-end rally, inflation, thematic winners, US consumer and Nvidia monster earnings: Today we discuss yesterday's small positive surprise on US October inflation that sent bond and equities soaring with Nasdaq 100 on a trajectory to set a new closing high for the year. We also go through which equity themes responded the most positiv... by Saxo Market Call

16 min listen

Equities: Q3 earnings, China restart, and the robust economy: Today we discuss the Q3 earnings season and in particularly earnings yesterday from Microsoft and Alphabet (Google) with Microsoft being the big winner according to investors as the cloud business grew faster than estimated at 24% y/y while Google's ... by Saxo Market Call

16 min listen

The biggest earnings week is here: This week is the biggest during this earnings season, as many of the US tech mastodons will report. Therefore, Peter Garnry is in the studio. Before touching on this exciting week, he and Søren Otto also discuss last week's earnings as well as the ke... by Saxo Market Call

23 min listen

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Equities: YTD performance, rate cuts pricing, and Adobe earnings

Equities: YTD performance, rate cuts pricing, and Adobe earnings

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